YEARLY HIGH
0.0187 RUB
YEARLY LOW
0.0153 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0168 RUB

2018 UGX to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the UGX to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 27, valuing the pair at 0.0187. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 26, dropping to 0.0153.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0034 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0156 to the December average rate of 0.0182, the exchange rate registered a net change of 16.93% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.0187 was up 10.81% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.0169, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 94 RUB
2017 Average 81 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 76 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 17.20 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.0185
0.0153
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0161, compared to 0.0176 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0016 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0161
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0176

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was April, with a trading range of 0.0016 RUB (High: 0.0170 / Low: 0.0155). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0004 RUB (High: 0.0159 / Low: 0.0155).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0016
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0004

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0004 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0004

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 0.0182) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.0161), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0021 (+12.74%).

2018 Avg (December) 0.0182
2017 Avg (December) 0.0161

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0159 0.0154 0.0156
February 0.0160 0.0153 0.0156
March 0.0159 0.0155 0.0156
April 0.0170 0.0155 0.0164
May 0.0172 0.0164 0.0167
June 0.0165 0.0161 0.0164
July 0.0171 0.0161 0.0167
August 0.0183 0.0171 0.0178
September 0.0187 0.0171 0.0178
October 0.0177 0.0170 0.0174
November 0.0182 0.0176 0.0178
December 0.0187 0.0178 0.0182