2016 UGX to RWF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.2404 RWF

YEARLY LOW

0.2145 RWF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.2282 RWF

2016 UGX to RWF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UGX to RWF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 30, valuing the pair at 0.2404. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 17, dropping to 0.2145.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0260 RWF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2174 to the December average rate of 0.2292, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.43% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.2404 was down 3.76% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.2498, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,202 RWF

2015 Average 1,106 RWF

Yearly Trough Low 1,072 RWF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 129.83 RWF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.2389

0.2154

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to RWF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2242, compared to 0.2323 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0082 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2242

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2323

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.0169 RWF (High: 0.2353 / Low: 0.2184). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0035 RWF (High: 0.2384 / Low: 0.2350).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0169

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0035

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0057 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0057

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2016: 0.2352) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.2031), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0321 (+15.83%).

2016 Avg (August) 0.2352

2015 Avg (August) 0.2031

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.2214	0.2145	0.2174
February	0.2271	0.2148	0.2200
March	0.2313	0.2220	0.2255
April	0.2352	0.2242	0.2279
May	0.2317	0.2217	0.2276
June	0.2353	0.2184	0.2266
July	0.2336	0.2217	0.2283
August	0.2404	0.2324	0.2352
September	0.2384	0.2350	0.2369
October	0.2396	0.2301	0.2350
November	0.2367	0.2248	0.2293
December	0.2346	0.2259	0.2292