YEARLY HIGH
0.0019 TRY
YEARLY LOW
0.0010 TRY
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0013 TRY

2018 UGX to TRY Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the UGX to TRY exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 13, valuing the pair at 0.0019. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 6, dropping to 0.0010.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0008 TRY. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0010 to the December average rate of 0.0014, the exchange rate registered a net change of 38.01% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.0019 was up 69.68% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.0011, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9 TRY
2017 Average 5 TRY
Yearly Trough Low 5 TRY
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4.17 TRY purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.0017
0.0010
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to TRY Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0011, compared to 0.0015 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0004 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0011
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0015

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.0005 TRY (High: 0.0019 / Low: 0.0014). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0000 TRY (High: 0.0011 / Low: 0.0010).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0005
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0000

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0001 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0001

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2018: 0.0016) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.0010), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0006 (+64.02%).

2018 Avg (August) 0.0016
2017 Avg (August) 0.0010

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0011 0.0010 0.0010
February 0.0011 0.0010 0.0010
March 0.0011 0.0010 0.0011
April 0.0011 0.0011 0.0011
May 0.0013 0.0011 0.0012
June 0.0012 0.0012 0.0012
July 0.0013 0.0012 0.0013
August 0.0019 0.0014 0.0016
September 0.0018 0.0016 0.0017
October 0.0016 0.0015 0.0015
November 0.0015 0.0014 0.0014
December 0.0015 0.0014 0.0014