YEARLY HIGH
0.6255 TZS
YEARLY LOW
0.5822 TZS
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.6112 TZS

2018 UGX to TZS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the UGX to TZS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 14, valuing the pair at 0.6255. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 21, dropping to 0.5822.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0433 TZS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6173 to the December average rate of 0.6199, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.42% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.6255 was down 7.59% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.6769, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,127 TZS
2017 Average 3,094 TZS
Yearly Trough Low 2,911 TZS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 216.32 TZS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.6226
0.5913
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to TZS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6125, compared to 0.6099 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0026 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6125
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6099

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.0349 TZS (High: 0.6190 / Low: 0.5841). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0068 TZS (High: 0.6216 / Low: 0.6149).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0349
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0068

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0182 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0182

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 0.6199) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.6180), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0019 (+0.31%).

2018 Avg (December) 0.6199
2017 Avg (December) 0.6180

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.6223 0.6134 0.6173
February 0.6216 0.6149 0.6191
March 0.6199 0.6120 0.6173
April 0.6193 0.6114 0.6149
May 0.6155 0.6046 0.6121
June 0.6052 0.5822 0.5939
July 0.6190 0.5841 0.6064
August 0.6191 0.6062 0.6120
September 0.6077 0.5967 0.6008
October 0.6100 0.5973 0.6056
November 0.6214 0.6095 0.6144
December 0.6255 0.6151 0.6199