YEARLY HIGH
0.0081 UAH
YEARLY LOW
0.0068 UAH
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0075 UAH

2016 UGX to UAH Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UGX to UAH exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 1, valuing the pair at 0.0081. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 12, dropping to 0.0068.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0013 UAH. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0071 to the December average rate of 0.0073, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.42% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0081 was down 18.72% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0100, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 41 UAH
2015 Average 34 UAH
Yearly Trough Low 34 UAH
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6.74 UAH purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0079
0.0070
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to UAH Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0075, compared to 0.0074 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0001 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0075
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0074

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.0007 UAH (High: 0.0081 / Low: 0.0074). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0001 UAH (High: 0.0074 / Low: 0.0073).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0007
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0001

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0003 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0003

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2016: 0.0078) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0078), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0000 (-0.41%).

2016 Avg (March) 0.0078
2015 Avg (March) 0.0078

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0074 0.0068 0.0071
February 0.0081 0.0074 0.0077
March 0.0081 0.0076 0.0078
April 0.0078 0.0075 0.0076
May 0.0077 0.0074 0.0075
June 0.0075 0.0073 0.0074
July 0.0074 0.0073 0.0073
August 0.0077 0.0073 0.0075
September 0.0079 0.0076 0.0078
October 0.0077 0.0074 0.0075
November 0.0074 0.0070 0.0072
December 0.0075 0.0071 0.0073