YEARLY HIGH
0.1806 XAF
YEARLY LOW
0.1678 XAF
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1737 XAF

2016 UGX to XAF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UGX to XAF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 2, valuing the pair at 0.1806. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 11, dropping to 0.1678.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0128 XAF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1754 to the December average rate of 0.1730, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.37% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.1806 was down 15.65% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.2141, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 903 XAF
2015 Average 921 XAF
Yearly Trough Low 839 XAF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 63.90 XAF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.1762
0.1704
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to XAF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1740, compared to 0.1734 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0006 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1740
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1734

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.0110 XAF (High: 0.1788 / Low: 0.1678). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0020 XAF (High: 0.1746 / Low: 0.1726).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0110
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0020

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0029 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0029

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2016: 0.1754) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.2059), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0305 (-14.80%).

2016 Avg (March) 0.1754
2015 Avg (March) 0.2059

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1798 0.1729 0.1754
February 0.1788 0.1678 0.1725
March 0.1806 0.1715 0.1754
April 0.1763 0.1708 0.1733
May 0.1753 0.1716 0.1738
June 0.1753 0.1717 0.1738
July 0.1773 0.1735 0.1757
August 0.1757 0.1721 0.1740
September 0.1746 0.1726 0.1734
October 0.1753 0.1724 0.1736
November 0.1722 0.1687 0.1709
December 0.1773 0.1685 0.1730