2016 UGX to ZMK Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.5879 ZMK

YEARLY LOW

1.4463 ZMK

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.5374 ZMK

2016 UGX to ZMK Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UGX to ZMK exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 24, valuing the pair at 1.5879. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 2, dropping to 1.4463.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1416 ZMK. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5247 to the December average rate of 1.4587, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.33% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.5879 was down 16.02% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.8910, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,940 ZMK

2015 Average 8,175 ZMK

Yearly Trough Low 7,232 ZMK

Transaction Impact: A difference of 708.03 ZMK purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.5830

1.4474

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to ZMK Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5539, compared to 1.5209 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0330 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.5539

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.5209

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0685 ZMK (High: 1.5163 / Low: 1.4478). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0079 ZMK (High: 1.5590 / Low: 1.5511).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0685

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0079

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0556 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0556

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2016: 1.5717) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.7549), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1832 (-10.44%).

2016 Avg (April) 1.5717

2015 Avg (April) 1.7549

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.5546	1.5091	1.5247
February	1.5656	1.5106	1.5325
March	1.5725	1.5557	1.5626
April	1.5879	1.5585	1.5717
May	1.5838	1.5514	1.5707
June	1.5700	1.5390	1.5609
July	1.5577	1.5447	1.5489
August	1.5606	1.5448	1.5570
September	1.5590	1.5511	1.5535
October	1.5545	1.5172	1.5313
November	1.5163	1.4478	1.4757
December	1.4783	1.4463	1.4587