YEARLY HIGH
160.4426 JPY
YEARLY LOW
152.4965 JPY
YEARLY AVERAGE
158.1585 JPY

2026 USD to JPY Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the USD to JPY exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 10, valuing the pair at 160.4426. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 27, dropping to 152.4965.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 7.9461 JPY. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 156.7328 to the December average rate of 160.1083, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.15% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 160.4426 was up 1.40% compared to the 2025 peak of 158.2250, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 USD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 802,213 JPY
2025 Average 748,230 JPY
Yearly Trough Low 762,483 JPY
Transaction Impact: A difference of 39,730.50 JPY purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

160.6106
154.5833
JanuFebrMarcApriMayJune

USD to JPY Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 158.1585, compared to 0.0000 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 158.1585 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 158.1585
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0000

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was January, with a trading range of 6.7023 JPY (High: 159.1988 / Low: 152.4965). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.9626 JPY (High: 160.4426 / Low: 159.4800).

January Spread (Volatile) ±6.7023
June Spread (Stable) ±0.9626

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 1.6473 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.6473

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2026: 160.1083) against the same month in 2025 (average: 144.5506), the exchange rate shifted by +15.5577 (+10.76%).

2026 Avg (June) 160.1083
2025 Avg (June) 144.5506

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 159.1988 152.4965 156.7328
February 157.2677 152.6950 155.0856
March 160.2990 156.6355 158.7926
April 160.2425 158.6450 159.2765
May 159.5124 156.9070 158.9553
June 160.4426 159.4800 160.1083