YEARLY HIGH
118.4733 RSD
YEARLY LOW
98.5055 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
107.7009 RSD

2017 USD to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the USD to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 118.4733. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 98.5055.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 19.9678 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 116.4132 to the December average rate of 100.4381, the exchange rate registered a net change of -13.72% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 118.4733 was down 0.42% compared to the 2016 peak of 118.9756, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 USD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 592,367 RSD
2016 Average 556,159 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 492,528 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 99,839.17 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

118.0853
98.4438
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

USD to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 113.9702, compared to 101.4316 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 12.5387 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 113.9702
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 101.4316

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was July, with a trading range of 4.7546 RSD (High: 106.3600 / Low: 101.6054). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.0625 RSD (High: 102.7525 / Low: 100.6900).

July Spread (Volatile) ±4.7546
October Spread (Stable) ±2.0625

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2017. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 4.2234 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -4.2234

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2017: 116.4132) against the same month in 2016 (average: 112.8261), the exchange rate shifted by +3.5871 (+3.18%).

2017 Avg (January) 116.4132
2016 Avg (January) 112.8261

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 118.4733 114.8275 116.4132
February 117.4516 114.9750 116.4485
March 117.6636 114.2586 115.8403
April 117.0270 112.8500 115.3947
May 113.3198 108.9050 111.1712
June 109.5581 105.4877 108.5533
July 106.3600 101.6054 104.3435
August 102.2408 99.5700 101.1001
September 101.6765 99.1470 100.0806
October 102.7525 100.6900 101.4699
November 102.4775 99.9945 101.1572
December 101.8092 98.5055 100.4381