2018 USD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

3909.3385 UGX

YEARLY LOW

3627.6000 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

3726.2965 UGX

2018 USD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the USD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 21, valuing the pair at 3909.3385. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 3, dropping to 3627.6000.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 281.7385 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3639.7315 to the December average rate of 3714.0361, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.04% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 3909.3385 was up 6.67% compared to the 2017 peak of 3664.9000, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 USD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 19,546,692 UGX

2017 Average 18,081,251 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 18,138,000 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,408,692.31 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

3858.0515

3619.6015

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

USD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3699.4450, compared to 3753.1480 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 53.7030 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3699.4450

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3753.1480

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 216.4070 UGX (High: 3900.3135 / Low: 3683.9065). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 31.8169 UGX (High: 3659.9500 / Low: 3628.1331).

July Spread (Volatile) ±216.4070

January Spread (Stable) ±31.8169

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 81.8297 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -81.8297

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 3838.1806) against the same month in 2017 (average: 3589.7569), the exchange rate shifted by +248.4237 (+6.92%).

2018 Avg (June) 3838.1806

2017 Avg (June) 3589.7569

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	3659.9500	3628.1331	3639.7315
February	3663.5000	3627.6000	3639.4724
March	3690.9000	3641.2331	3655.4844
April	3716.0000	3677.6500	3696.5383
May	3774.9288	3708.9000	3727.2626
June	3909.3385	3772.6644	3838.1806
July	3900.3135	3683.9065	3756.3510
August	3770.1202	3685.2049	3730.3476
September	3827.4032	3764.1050	3802.4167
October	3824.6404	3745.5121	3778.5501
November	3757.6088	3707.2905	3737.1866
December	3739.7697	3692.6436	3714.0361