2013 VEF to ALL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

25.2858 ALL

YEARLY LOW

16.1501 ALL

YEARLY AVERAGE

18.5984 ALL

2013 VEF to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the VEF to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 21, valuing the pair at 25.2858. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 16.1501.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 9.1357 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 24.4492 to the December average rate of 16.2641, the exchange rate registered a net change of -33.48% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 25.2858 was down 4.60% compared to the 2012 peak of 26.5050, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 126,429 ALL

2012 Average 125,949 ALL

Yearly Trough Low 80,751 ALL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 45,678.28 ALL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

25.2677

15.4456

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 20.5815, compared to 16.6152 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 3.9663 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 20.5815

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 16.6152

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was March, with a trading range of 8.0342 ALL (High: 25.2858 / Low: 17.2516). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2181 ALL (High: 16.6415 / Low: 16.4234).

March Spread (Volatile) ±8.0342

November Spread (Stable) ±0.2181

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2013. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 6.1671 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -6.1671

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2013: 23.2912) against the same month in 2012 (average: 24.6573), the exchange rate shifted by -1.3661 (-5.54%).

2013 Avg (March) 23.2912

2012 Avg (March) 24.6573

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	24.9174	23.9873	24.4492
February	24.8851	23.8382	24.3588
March	25.2858	17.2516	23.2912
April	17.3466	16.9759	17.1241
May	17.4939	17.0108	17.2603
June	17.2322	16.7827	17.0053
July	17.3928	16.7590	17.0473
August	16.8447	16.6104	16.7170
September	16.9612	16.5631	16.7281
October	16.6325	16.1706	16.4186
November	16.6415	16.4234	16.5162
December	16.4635	16.1501	16.2641