2016 VEF to AZN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.2626 AZN

YEARLY LOW

0.1490 AZN

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1839 AZN

2016 VEF to AZN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the VEF to AZN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 12, valuing the pair at 0.2626. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 30, dropping to 0.1490.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1136 AZN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2507 to the December average rate of 0.1774, the exchange rate registered a net change of -29.21% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.2626 was up 6.27% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.2471, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,313 AZN

2015 Average 809 AZN

Yearly Trough Low 745 AZN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 568.23 AZN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.2658

0.1400

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to AZN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2019, compared to 0.1659 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0360 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2019

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1659

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 0.0173 AZN (High: 0.2626 / Low: 0.2453). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0025 AZN (High: 0.1515 / Low: 0.1490).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0173

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0025

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.1032 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1032

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2016: 0.2553) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.1660), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0893 (+53.83%).

2016 Avg (March) 0.2553

2015 Avg (March) 0.1660

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.2570	0.2471	0.2507
February	0.2552	0.2467	0.2502
March	0.2626	0.2453	0.2553
April	0.1533	0.1505	0.1521
May	0.1515	0.1490	0.1505
June	0.1558	0.1492	0.1525
July	0.1600	0.1545	0.1569
August	0.1658	0.1600	0.1628
September	0.1665	0.1630	0.1648
October	0.1657	0.1602	0.1622
November	0.1747	0.1656	0.1710
December	0.1803	0.1749	0.1774