YEARLY HIGH
12.5082 BDT
YEARLY LOW
7.7972 BDT
YEARLY AVERAGE
9.0095 BDT

2016 VEF to BDT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the VEF to BDT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 28, valuing the pair at 12.5082. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 9, dropping to 7.7972.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.7110 BDT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 12.4181 to the December average rate of 7.9413, the exchange rate registered a net change of -36.05% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 12.5082 was up 0.56% compared to the 2015 peak of 12.4390, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 62,541 BDT
2015 Average 61,631 BDT
Yearly Trough Low 38,986 BDT
Transaction Impact: A difference of 23,554.76 BDT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

12.8884
7.3958
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to BDT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.1399, compared to 7.8792 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.2607 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.1399
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.8792

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was December, with a trading range of 0.1674 BDT (High: 8.0359 / Low: 7.8685). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0236 BDT (High: 7.8727 / Low: 7.8491).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.1674
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0236

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 4.5267 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -4.5267

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 12.4307) against the same month in 2015 (average: 12.3289), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1017 (+0.83%).

2016 Avg (February) 12.4307
2015 Avg (February) 12.3289

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 12.5004 12.3605 12.4181
February 12.5082 12.3643 12.4307
March 12.4349 12.3175 12.3856
April 7.8727 7.8491 7.8589
May 7.8910 7.8533 7.8737
June 7.9032 7.8372 7.8724
July 7.9022 7.7972 7.8535
August 7.8932 7.8451 7.8588
September 7.8807 7.8447 7.8593
October 7.8770 7.8305 7.8582
November 7.9561 7.8584 7.9040
December 8.0359 7.8685 7.9413