YEARLY HIGH
0.3533 BGN
YEARLY LOW
0.2253 BGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.2595 BGN

2013 VEF to BGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the VEF to BGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 21, valuing the pair at 0.3533. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 25, dropping to 0.2253.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1280 BGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3427 to the December average rate of 0.2271, the exchange rate registered a net change of -33.75% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 0.3533 was down 6.34% compared to the 2012 peak of 0.3772, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,767 BGN
2012 Average 1,774 BGN
Yearly Trough Low 1,127 BGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 639.86 BGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

0.3543
0.2155
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to BGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2874, compared to 0.2316 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0558 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2874
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2316

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was March, with a trading range of 0.1124 BGN (High: 0.3533 / Low: 0.2409). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0030 BGN (High: 0.2352 / Low: 0.2322).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.1124
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0030

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2013. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0873 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0873

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2013: 0.3261) against the same month in 2012 (average: 0.3453), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0192 (-5.55%).

2013 Avg (March) 0.3261
2012 Avg (March) 0.3453

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.3488 0.3361 0.3427
February 0.3481 0.3341 0.3411
March 0.3533 0.2409 0.3261
April 0.2428 0.2368 0.2388
May 0.2421 0.2368 0.2397
June 0.2393 0.2325 0.2360
July 0.2425 0.2341 0.2378
August 0.2352 0.2322 0.2336
September 0.2367 0.2300 0.2329
October 0.2300 0.2253 0.2280
November 0.2328 0.2287 0.2305
December 0.2296 0.2257 0.2271