2016 VEF to BRL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.6553 BRL

YEARLY LOW

0.3125 BRL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.4062 BRL

2016 VEF to BRL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the VEF to BRL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 21, valuing the pair at 0.6553. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 25, dropping to 0.3125.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3429 BRL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6397 to the December average rate of 0.3360, the exchange rate registered a net change of -47.47% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.6553 was down 0.05% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.6557, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,277 BRL

2015 Average 2,639 BRL

Yearly Trough Low 1,562 BRL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,714.40 BRL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.6716

0.2882

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to BRL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4844, compared to 0.3280 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1564 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4844

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3280

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 0.0571 BRL (High: 0.6241 / Low: 0.5670). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0114 BRL (High: 0.3354 / Low: 0.3239).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0571

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0114

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.2276 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2276

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.6397) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.4173), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2224 (+53.30%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.6397

2015 Avg (January) 0.4173

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.6553	0.6254	0.6397
February	0.6416	0.6157	0.6282
March	0.6241	0.5670	0.5838
April	0.3696	0.3453	0.3562
May	0.3622	0.3444	0.3548
June	0.3614	0.3233	0.3437
July	0.3354	0.3239	0.3280
August	0.3273	0.3142	0.3216
September	0.3337	0.3212	0.3261
October	0.3269	0.3125	0.3202
November	0.3449	0.3186	0.3359
December	0.3529	0.3255	0.3360