YEARLY HIGH
1.0421 CNY
YEARLY LOW
0.6479 CNY
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.7605 CNY

2016 VEF to CNY Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the VEF to CNY exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 14, valuing the pair at 1.0421. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 11, dropping to 0.6479.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3942 CNY. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0387 to the December average rate of 0.6933, the exchange rate registered a net change of -33.25% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.0421 was up 1.43% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.0274, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,211 CNY
2015 Average 4,964 CNY
Yearly Trough Low 3,240 CNY
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,971.08 CNY purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.0777
0.6106
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to CNY Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.8447, compared to 0.6762 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1685 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.8447
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6762

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0163 CNY (High: 0.6934 / Low: 0.6771). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0018 CNY (High: 0.6698 / Low: 0.6680).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0163
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0018

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.3788 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3788

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 1.0387) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.9819), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0568 (+5.79%).

2016 Avg (January) 1.0387
2015 Avg (January) 0.9819

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.0421 1.0274 1.0387
February 1.0412 1.0300 1.0362
March 1.0366 1.0213 1.0284
April 0.6517 0.6479 0.6496
May 0.6602 0.6491 0.6548
June 0.6664 0.6583 0.6606
July 0.6716 0.6653 0.6687
August 0.6696 0.6642 0.6665
September 0.6698 0.6680 0.6688
October 0.6798 0.6673 0.6742
November 0.6934 0.6771 0.6858
December 0.6969 0.6890 0.6933