YEARLY HIGH
28.1961 DJF
YEARLY LOW
17.6473 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
20.3840 DJF

2016 VEF to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the VEF to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 31, valuing the pair at 28.1961. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 9, dropping to 17.6473.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 10.5489 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 28.1128 to the December average rate of 17.8682, the exchange rate registered a net change of -36.44% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 28.1961 was down 0.44% compared to the 2015 peak of 28.3194, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 140,981 DJF
2015 Average 140,566 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 88,236 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 52,744.27 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

29.1479
16.7264
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 22.9616, compared to 17.8063 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 5.1554 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 22.9616
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 17.8063

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was December, with a trading range of 0.1984 DJF (High: 18.0115 / Low: 17.8131). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0305 DJF (High: 28.1381 / Low: 28.1076).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.1984
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0305

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 10.2778 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -10.2778

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2016: 28.0942) against the same month in 2015 (average: 28.1551), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0609 (-0.22%).

2016 Avg (March) 28.0942
2015 Avg (March) 28.1551

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 28.1381 28.1076 28.1128
February 28.1459 28.1021 28.1119
March 28.1961 28.0213 28.0942
April 17.8309 17.7976 17.8164
May 17.8330 17.7815 17.8108
June 17.8442 17.7848 17.8237
July 17.7930 17.6473 17.7616
August 17.7992 17.7326 17.7791
September 17.8245 17.7264 17.7825
October 17.8606 17.7623 17.8060
November 17.8775 17.7935 17.8402
December 18.0115 17.8131 17.8682