YEARLY HIGH
72.2941 KMF
YEARLY LOW
42.9192 KMF
YEARLY AVERAGE
50.9258 KMF

2016 VEF to KMF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the VEF to KMF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 72.2941. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 4, dropping to 42.9192.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 29.3748 KMF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 71.4628 to the December average rate of 46.7563, the exchange rate registered a net change of -34.57% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 72.2941 was down 2.71% compared to the 2015 peak of 74.3069, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 361,470 KMF
2015 Average 351,052 KMF
Yearly Trough Low 214,596 KMF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 146,874.23 KMF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

74.2612
40.6802
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to KMF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 57.0122, compared to 44.8395 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 12.1726 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 57.0122
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 44.8395

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 2.6510 KMF (High: 71.5702 / Low: 68.9192). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6026 KMF (High: 44.4520 / Low: 43.8494).

February Spread (Volatile) ±2.6510
September Spread (Stable) ±0.6026

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 26.4391 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -26.4391

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 71.4628) against the same month in 2015 (average: 66.9859), the exchange rate shifted by +4.4769 (+6.68%).

2016 Avg (January) 71.4628
2015 Avg (January) 66.9859

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 72.2941 70.2082 71.4628
February 71.5702 68.9192 70.1628
March 71.6470 69.1018 69.9616
April 43.9642 43.2923 43.5225
May 44.4206 42.9192 43.4787
June 44.1151 43.0421 43.4847
July 44.8750 43.0442 43.8355
August 44.7888 43.8472 44.4735
September 44.4520 43.8494 44.0432
October 45.0657 43.9711 44.4172
November 46.6080 44.1901 45.5115
December 47.4587 46.0924 46.7563