YEARLY HIGH
9.0429 MKD
YEARLY LOW
5.3811 MKD
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.3866 MKD

2016 VEF to MKD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the VEF to MKD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 5, valuing the pair at 9.0429. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 4, dropping to 5.3811.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.6618 MKD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.9668 to the December average rate of 5.8460, the exchange rate registered a net change of -34.80% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 9.0429 was down 2.75% compared to the 2015 peak of 9.2986, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 45,214 MKD
2015 Average 43,871 MKD
Yearly Trough Low 26,906 MKD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 18,308.97 MKD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

9.3177
5.1069
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to MKD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.1524, compared to 5.6207 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.5317 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.1524
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.6207

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 0.3691 MKD (High: 8.9664 / Low: 8.5974). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0431 MKD (High: 5.5256 / Low: 5.4825).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.3691
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0431

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 3.2899 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -3.2899

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 8.9668) against the same month in 2015 (average: 8.3287), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6380 (+7.66%).

2016 Avg (January) 8.9668
2015 Avg (January) 8.3287

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 9.0429 8.9186 8.9668
February 8.9527 8.6165 8.7762
March 8.9664 8.5974 8.7477
April 5.5025 5.4140 5.4578
May 5.5545 5.3811 5.4746
June 5.5947 5.4232 5.4914
July 5.6142 5.5215 5.5667
August 5.5766 5.4415 5.5069
September 5.5256 5.4825 5.5056
October 5.6660 5.4857 5.5864
November 5.8338 5.5424 5.7128
December 5.9293 5.7314 5.8460