2016 VEF to MOP Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.2741 MOP

YEARLY LOW

0.7954 MOP

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.9174 MOP

2016 VEF to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the VEF to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 20, valuing the pair at 1.2741. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 9, dropping to 0.7954.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4788 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.2683 to the December average rate of 0.8003, the exchange rate registered a net change of -36.90% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.2741 was down 0.03% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.2746, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,371 MOP

2015 Average 6,319 MOP

Yearly Trough Low 3,977 MOP

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,393.89 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.3151

0.7535

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0341, compared to 0.8007 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2334 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0341

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.8007

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.0117 MOP (High: 1.2741 / Low: 1.2625). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0019 MOP (High: 0.8024 / Low: 0.8005).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0117

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0019

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.4623 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4623

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 1.2683) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.2657), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0026 (+0.21%).

2016 Avg (January) 1.2683

2015 Avg (January) 1.2657

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.2741	1.2625	1.2683
February	1.2717	1.2655	1.2683
March	1.2679	1.2599	1.2633
April	0.8024	0.8005	0.8010
May	0.8030	0.8001	0.8020
June	0.8035	0.8005	0.8017
July	0.8036	0.7954	0.8005
August	0.8035	0.8000	0.8009
September	0.8029	0.7995	0.8009
October	0.8021	0.7984	0.8007
November	0.8033	0.7993	0.8010
December	0.8027	0.7987	0.8003