YEARLY HIGH
54.8945 MRO
YEARLY LOW
34.3005 MRO
YEARLY AVERAGE
40.1069 MRO

2016 VEF to MRO Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the VEF to MRO exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 27, valuing the pair at 54.8945. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 3, dropping to 34.3005.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 20.5940 MRO. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 52.9484 to the December average rate of 35.8559, the exchange rate registered a net change of -32.28% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 54.8945 was up 1.92% compared to the 2015 peak of 53.8628, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 274,472 MRO
2015 Average 244,827 MRO
Yearly Trough Low 171,503 MRO
Transaction Impact: A difference of 102,969.78 MRO purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

56.3188
32.6890
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to MRO Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 44.5014, compared to 35.7123 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 8.7891 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 44.5014
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 35.7123

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 5.6639 MRO (High: 54.5058 / Low: 48.8419). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2344 MRO (High: 35.8142 / Low: 35.5798).

January Spread (Volatile) ±5.6639
September Spread (Stable) ±0.2344

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 19.6915 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -19.6915

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2016: 54.3497) against the same month in 2015 (average: 47.1626), the exchange rate shifted by +7.1870 (+15.24%).

2016 Avg (March) 54.3497
2015 Avg (March) 47.1626

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 54.5058 48.8419 52.9484
February 54.6065 52.0814 54.0940
March 54.8945 54.0414 54.3497
April 34.8774 34.3005 34.6582
May 35.7249 34.3860 35.2770
June 35.8387 35.5703 35.6811
July 35.7777 35.3390 35.5602
August 35.8584 35.4812 35.6231
September 35.8142 35.5798 35.6659
October 35.8632 35.5131 35.7338
November 36.0223 35.7214 35.8350
December 36.0231 35.7102 35.8559