YEARLY HIGH
34.8785 NGN
YEARLY LOW
19.9063 NGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
28.6810 NGN

2016 VEF to NGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the VEF to NGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 22, valuing the pair at 34.8785. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 7, dropping to 19.9063.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 14.9722 NGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 31.4999 to the December average rate of 31.5238, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.08% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 34.8785 was up 7.72% compared to the 2015 peak of 32.3776, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 174,392 NGN
2015 Average 156,598 NGN
Yearly Trough Low 99,531 NGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 74,861.11 NGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

33.5545
18.7230
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to NGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 26.1397, compared to 31.2223 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 5.0826 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 26.1397
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 31.2223

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 8.4867 NGN (High: 28.3930 / Low: 19.9063). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0401 NGN (High: 19.9773 / Low: 19.9372).

June Spread (Volatile) ±8.4867
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0401

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 11.5022 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -11.5022

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2016: 32.3185) against the same month in 2015 (average: 31.4827), the exchange rate shifted by +0.8359 (+2.65%).

2016 Avg (August) 32.3185
2015 Avg (August) 31.4827

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 31.6247 31.4526 31.4999
February 31.6251 31.3906 31.4834
March 31.5502 31.3503 31.4612
April 19.9773 19.9372 19.9590
May 19.9817 19.9372 19.9644
June 28.3930 19.9063 22.4706
July 32.0648 28.0705 29.3069
August 34.8785 31.2598 32.3185
September 31.5778 31.1495 31.3701
October 31.6488 30.9501 31.3674
November 31.6485 31.1790 31.4469
December 31.7317 30.5954 31.5238