2011 VEF to NPR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

19.9901 NPR

YEARLY LOW

16.3662 NPR

YEARLY AVERAGE

17.2304 NPR

2011 VEF to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the VEF to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 15, valuing the pair at 19.9901. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 28, dropping to 16.3662.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.6240 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 16.5646 to the December average rate of 19.5339, the exchange rate registered a net change of 17.93% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 19.9901 was down 40.36% compared to the 2010 peak of 33.5195, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 99,951 NPR

2010 Average 85,332 NPR

Yearly Trough Low 81,831 NPR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 18,119.83 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

19.8379

16.1895

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 16.5968, compared to 17.8641 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.2672 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 16.5968

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 17.8641

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was November, with a trading range of 1.1583 NPR (High: 19.1312 / Low: 17.9729). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1634 NPR (High: 16.5617 / Low: 16.3983).

November Spread (Volatile) ±1.1583

March Spread (Stable) ±0.1634

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.1744 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1744

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2011: 19.5339) against the same month in 2010 (average: 16.4709), the exchange rate shifted by +3.0630 (+18.60%).

2011 Avg (December) 19.5339

2010 Avg (December) 16.4709

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	16.6523	16.3887	16.5646
February	16.6522	16.4651	16.5722
March	16.5617	16.3983	16.5030
April	16.6012	16.4167	16.4936
May	16.9182	16.4577	16.7364
June	16.8001	16.5987	16.7112
July	16.6781	16.3662	16.5368
August	17.1531	16.4201	16.8821
September	18.0941	16.9853	17.5984
October	18.1960	17.9317	18.0360
November	19.1312	17.9729	18.5972
December	19.9901	19.0315	19.5339