2016 VEF to RON Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.6651 RON

YEARLY LOW

0.3907 RON

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.4658 RON

2016 VEF to RON Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the VEF to RON exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 31, valuing the pair at 0.6651. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 2, dropping to 0.3907.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2744 RON. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6599 to the December average rate of 0.4293, the exchange rate registered a net change of -34.95% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.6651 was down 0.85% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.6708, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,325 RON

2015 Average 3,171 RON

Yearly Trough Low 1,953 RON

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,372.13 RON purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.6864

0.3691

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to RON Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5219, compared to 0.4098 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1121 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5219

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4098

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.0324 RON (High: 0.6591 / Low: 0.6267). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0042 RON (High: 0.3999 / Low: 0.3957).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0324

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0042

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.2388 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2388

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.6599) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.6109), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0490 (+8.02%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.6599

2015 Avg (January) 0.6109

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.6651	0.6552	0.6599
February	0.6591	0.6267	0.6388
March	0.6501	0.6234	0.6343
April	0.3997	0.3925	0.3955
May	0.4068	0.3907	0.3994
June	0.4111	0.3969	0.4034
July	0.4089	0.4004	0.4058
August	0.4029	0.3946	0.3989
September	0.3999	0.3957	0.3978
October	0.4152	0.3963	0.4081
November	0.4278	0.4049	0.4189
December	0.4367	0.4190	0.4293