YEARLY HIGH
9.9055 RSD
YEARLY LOW
0.0004 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.0858 RSD

2018 VEF to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the VEF to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 9.9055. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 20, dropping to 0.0004.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 9.9051 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 9.6252 to the December average rate of 0.0004, the exchange rate registered a net change of -100.00% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 9.9055 was down 16.58% compared to the 2017 peak of 11.8741, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 49,528 RSD
2017 Average 53,331 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 2 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 49,525.70 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

10.5877
-0.9621
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.1711, compared to 0.0006 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.1705 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.1711
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0006

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was February, with a trading range of 9.6061 RSD (High: 9.6094 / Low: 0.0033). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0000 RSD (High: 0.0004 / Low: 0.0004).

February Spread (Volatile) ±9.6061
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0000

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 6.2312 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -6.2312

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 9.6252) against the same month in 2017 (average: 11.6562), the exchange rate shifted by -2.0310 (-17.42%).

2018 Avg (January) 9.6252
2017 Avg (January) 11.6562

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 9.9055 9.1117 9.6252
February 9.6094 0.0033 3.3940
March 0.0033 0.0024 0.0027
April 0.0024 0.0015 0.0020
May 0.0014 0.0013 0.0014
June 0.0013 0.0013 0.0013
July 0.0013 0.0009 0.0011
August 0.0010 0.0004 0.0006
September 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004
October 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004
November 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004
December 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004