YEARLY HIGH
98.5804 SOS
YEARLY LOW
55.5351 SOS
YEARLY AVERAGE
68.3988 SOS

2016 VEF to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the VEF to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 98.5804. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 27, dropping to 55.5351.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 43.0452 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 97.9343 to the December average rate of 57.3650, the exchange rate registered a net change of -41.43% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 98.5804 was down 14.19% compared to the 2015 peak of 114.8787, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 492,902 SOS
2015 Average 533,546 SOS
Yearly Trough Low 277,676 SOS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 215,226.20 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

101.9913
53.3081
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 78.7361, compared to 58.0615 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 20.6746 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 78.7361
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 58.0615

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 2.8006 SOS (High: 58.3358 / Low: 55.5351). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5646 SOS (High: 58.7933 / Low: 58.2288).

November Spread (Volatile) ±2.8006
September Spread (Stable) ±0.5646

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 35.6455 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -35.6455

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 97.9343) against the same month in 2015 (average: 113.2791), the exchange rate shifted by -15.3448 (-13.55%).

2016 Avg (January) 97.9343
2015 Avg (January) 113.2791

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 98.5804 96.8776 97.9343
February 97.7323 96.4682 96.9702
March 97.3862 96.3642 96.8089
April 61.7281 60.4771 61.1634
May 61.5300 59.3047 60.5833
June 60.1850 57.9499 58.9565
July 59.0451 57.4426 58.3307
August 58.9379 57.8900 58.3751
September 58.7933 58.2288 58.4754
October 58.9041 57.4468 58.2712
November 58.3358 55.5351 57.5516
December 58.2638 55.7279 57.3650