2016 VEF to TJS Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.2480 TJS

YEARLY LOW

0.7831 TJS

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.8963 TJS

2016 VEF to TJS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the VEF to TJS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 31, valuing the pair at 1.2480. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 9, dropping to 0.7831.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4649 TJS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.1683 to the December average rate of 0.7884, the exchange rate registered a net change of -32.51% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.2480 was up 12.93% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.1052, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,240 TJS

2015 Average 4,869 TJS

Yearly Trough Low 3,916 TJS

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,324.56 TJS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.2900

0.7425

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to TJS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0039, compared to 0.7888 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2151 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0039

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.7888

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.1363 TJS (High: 1.2415 / Low: 1.1052). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0004 TJS (High: 0.7894 / Low: 0.7890).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1363

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0004

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.4553 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4553

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2016: 1.2444) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.8831), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3613 (+40.91%).

2016 Avg (March) 1.2444

2015 Avg (March) 0.8831

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.2415	1.1052	1.1683
February	1.2462	1.2400	1.2433
March	1.2480	1.2422	1.2444
April	0.7893	0.7883	0.7891
May	0.7894	0.7890	0.7892
June	0.7894	0.7885	0.7891
July	0.7887	0.7831	0.7881
August	0.7892	0.7875	0.7886
September	0.7914	0.7859	0.7891
October	0.7907	0.7866	0.7890
November	0.7896	0.7891	0.7893
December	0.7908	0.7847	0.7884