YEARLY HIGH
4.3195 UAH
YEARLY LOW
2.4718 UAH
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.9335 UAH

2016 VEF to UAH Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the VEF to UAH exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 28, valuing the pair at 4.3195. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 9, dropping to 2.4718.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.8477 UAH. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.8476 to the December average rate of 2.6313, the exchange rate registered a net change of -31.61% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 4.3195 was down 5.28% compared to the 2015 peak of 4.5605, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 21,598 UAH
2015 Average 17,269 UAH
Yearly Trough Low 12,359 UAH
Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,238.70 UAH purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

4.3595
2.3160
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to UAH Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.2965, compared to 2.5706 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.7259 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.2965
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.5706

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.3886 UAH (High: 4.0677 / Low: 3.6790). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0261 UAH (High: 2.5156 / Low: 2.4895).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.3886
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0261

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 1.5867 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.5867

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 4.1892) against the same month in 2015 (average: 3.8694), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3198 (+8.26%).

2016 Avg (February) 4.1892
2015 Avg (February) 3.8694

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.0677 3.6790 3.8476
February 4.3195 4.0496 4.1892
March 4.2994 4.0018 4.1497
April 2.6198 2.5239 2.5631
May 2.5597 2.5167 2.5295
June 2.5156 2.4895 2.4998
July 2.5081 2.4718 2.4863
August 2.6147 2.4837 2.5199
September 2.6821 2.5844 2.6306
October 2.5968 2.5466 2.5776
November 2.6229 2.5597 2.5777
December 2.7205 2.5647 2.6313