YEARLY HIGH
5.6146 BTN
YEARLY LOW
4.6481 BTN
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.1794 BTN

2018 ZAR to BTN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ZAR to BTN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 24, valuing the pair at 5.6146. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 5, dropping to 4.6481.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9664 BTN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.2209 to the December average rate of 4.9453, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.28% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 5.6146 was up 6.45% compared to the 2017 peak of 5.2742, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 ZAR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 280,729 BTN
2017 Average 244,718 BTN
Yearly Trough Low 232,407 BTN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 48,322.29 BTN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

5.5503
4.8341
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ZAR to BTN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.3450, compared to 5.0139 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3310 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.3450
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.0139

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 0.4964 BTN (High: 5.1445 / Low: 4.6481). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1624 BTN (High: 5.4985 / Low: 5.3361).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.4964
April Spread (Stable) ±0.1624

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.2861 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2861

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 5.4477) against the same month in 2017 (average: 5.0902), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3575 (+7.02%).

2018 Avg (February) 5.4477
2017 Avg (February) 5.0902

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.3622 5.1032 5.2209
February 5.6146 5.2679 5.4477
March 5.5682 5.3982 5.4906
April 5.4985 5.3361 5.4260
May 5.4973 5.2474 5.3853
June 5.3519 4.9482 5.0992
July 5.2388 4.9673 5.1306
August 5.1961 4.8014 4.9533
September 5.1445 4.6481 4.8938
October 5.1897 4.9638 5.0611
November 5.2141 5.0211 5.0995
December 5.1434 4.7884 4.9453