YEARLY HIGH
1.4924 MDL
YEARLY LOW
1.2156 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.3564 MDL

2016 ZAR to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ZAR to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 7, valuing the pair at 1.4924. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 18, dropping to 1.2156.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2769 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.2488 to the December average rate of 1.4515, the exchange rate registered a net change of 16.22% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.4924 was down 8.42% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.6297, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 ZAR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 74,622 MDL
2015 Average 73,684 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 60,778 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 13,843.43 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.4717
1.2286
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ZAR to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.2929, compared to 1.4200 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1272 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.2929
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.4200

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was August, with a trading range of 0.1316 MDL (High: 1.4778 / Low: 1.3462). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0692 MDL (High: 1.4924 / Low: 1.4232).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.1316
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0692

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0500 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0500

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 1.4515) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.3112), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1402 (+10.70%).

2016 Avg (December) 1.4515
2015 Avg (December) 1.3112

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.2893 1.2156 1.2488
February 1.3147 1.2448 1.2706
March 1.3225 1.2467 1.2870
April 1.3871 1.2868 1.3447
May 1.3882 1.2569 1.2947
June 1.3684 1.2698 1.3113
July 1.4158 1.3374 1.3733
August 1.4778 1.3462 1.4326
September 1.4585 1.3533 1.4019
October 1.4763 1.3808 1.4259
November 1.4901 1.3911 1.4350
December 1.4924 1.4232 1.4515