YEARLY HIGH
8.3064 RSD
YEARLY LOW
6.5845 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.6002 RSD

2018 ZAR to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ZAR to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 24, valuing the pair at 8.3064. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 5, dropping to 6.5845.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.7219 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.9762 to the December average rate of 7.2772, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.76% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 8.3064 was down 10.24% compared to the 2017 peak of 9.2536, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 ZAR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 415,321 RSD
2017 Average 404,955 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 329,227 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 86,094.57 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

8.2302
6.7727
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ZAR to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.9537, compared to 7.2467 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.7070 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.9537
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.2467

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.7645 RSD (High: 7.6559 / Low: 6.8914). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2258 RSD (High: 8.1983 / Low: 7.9725).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.7645
March Spread (Stable) ±0.2258

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.3958 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3958

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 8.1088) against the same month in 2017 (average: 8.8398), the exchange rate shifted by -0.7310 (-8.27%).

2018 Avg (February) 8.1088
2017 Avg (February) 8.8398

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.0704 7.8314 7.9762
February 8.3064 7.8762 8.1088
March 8.1983 7.9725 8.0929
April 8.1362 7.8004 7.9574
May 8.1518 7.7205 7.9765
June 8.0226 7.3555 7.6104
July 7.6806 7.3227 7.5416
August 7.6559 6.8914 7.2900
September 7.2203 6.5845 6.8941
October 7.2662 6.9370 7.0900
November 7.5905 7.1910 7.3874
December 7.6031 7.0850 7.2772