YEARLY HIGH
0.7514 VEF
YEARLY LOW
0.3747 VEF
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.6229 VEF

2016 ZAR to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ZAR to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 8, valuing the pair at 0.7514. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 18, dropping to 0.3747.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3767 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3884 to the December average rate of 0.7205, the exchange rate registered a net change of 85.49% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.7514 was up 34.74% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.5577, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 ZAR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 37,571 VEF
2015 Average 24,896 VEF
Yearly Trough Low 18,736 VEF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 18,834.87 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.7585
0.3548
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ZAR to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5328, compared to 0.7130 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1803 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5328
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.7130

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was May, with a trading range of 0.0710 VEF (High: 0.7024 / Low: 0.6314). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0239 VEF (High: 0.4147 / Low: 0.3908).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0710
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0239

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0307 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0307

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2016: 0.7141) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.4466), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2675 (+59.90%).

2016 Avg (November) 0.7141
2015 Avg (November) 0.4466

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4083 0.3747 0.3884
February 0.4147 0.3908 0.4000
March 0.4268 0.3999 0.4118
April 0.7008 0.6544 0.6827
May 0.7024 0.6314 0.6520
June 0.6917 0.6374 0.6615
July 0.7177 0.6761 0.6935
August 0.7485 0.6812 0.7249
September 0.7387 0.6841 0.7087
October 0.7365 0.6979 0.7164
November 0.7514 0.6908 0.7141
December 0.7388 0.7070 0.7205