YEARLY HIGH
3781.3513 UGX
YEARLY LOW
196.0683 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1861.1818 UGX

2026 ZMW to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the ZMW to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 19, valuing the pair at 3781.3513. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 29, dropping to 196.0683.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3585.2830 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3568.7811 to the December average rate of 199.5392, the exchange rate registered a net change of -94.41% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 3781.3513 was up 1.12% compared to the 2025 peak of 3739.6028, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ZMW based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 18,906,756 UGX
2025 Average 18,007,862 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 980,342 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 17,926,414.75 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

4081.6371
-153.3788
JanuMarcMayJuly

ZMW to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2414.6023, compared to 200.9203 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2213.6819 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2414.6023
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 200.9203

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was April, with a trading range of 3559.9925 UGX (High: 3756.0608 / Low: 196.0683). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.0413 UGX (High: 199.8979 / Low: 198.8567).

April Spread (Volatile) ±3559.9925
August Spread (Stable) ±1.0413

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 3010.6129 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -3010.6129

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2026: 3728.7191) against the same month in 2025 (average: 3665.7070), the exchange rate shifted by +63.0121 (+1.72%).

2026 Avg (March) 3728.7191
2025 Avg (March) 3665.7070

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3626.2966 3457.9491 3568.7811
February 3603.6870 3529.1144 3564.9595
March 3781.3513 3599.1395 3728.7191
April 3756.0608 196.0683 3213.4452
May 204.4068 198.0643 202.8323
June 217.7603 202.8895 208.8763
July 204.8682 198.4727 202.3014
August 199.8979 198.8567 199.5392