YEARLY HIGH
0.4731 BAM
YEARLY LOW
0.4268 BAM
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.4507 BAM

2018 AED to BAM Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the AED to BAM exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 13, valuing the pair at 0.4731. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 15, dropping to 0.4268.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0464 BAM. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4369 to the December average rate of 0.4678, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.07% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.4731 was down 7.54% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.5117, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AED based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,366 BAM
2017 Average 2,361 BAM
Yearly Trough Low 2,134 BAM
Transaction Impact: A difference of 231.91 BAM purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.4715
0.4274
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AED to BAM Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4399, compared to 0.4616 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0217 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4399
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4616

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.0197 BAM (High: 0.4611 / Low: 0.4414). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0072 BAM (High: 0.4717 / Low: 0.4645).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0197
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0072

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0058 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0058

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 0.4672) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.4537), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0134 (+2.96%).

2018 Avg (November) 0.4672
2017 Avg (November) 0.4537

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4461 0.4271 0.4369
February 0.4361 0.4268 0.4311
March 0.4370 0.4287 0.4318
April 0.4404 0.4302 0.4333
May 0.4611 0.4414 0.4501
June 0.4615 0.4502 0.4561
July 0.4595 0.4442 0.4546
August 0.4705 0.4532 0.4610
September 0.4608 0.4462 0.4555
October 0.4704 0.4532 0.4634
November 0.4731 0.4536 0.4672
December 0.4717 0.4645 0.4678