YEARLY HIGH
0.4885 BAM
YEARLY LOW
0.4617 BAM
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.4756 BAM

2019 AED to BAM Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the AED to BAM exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 30, valuing the pair at 0.4885. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 12, dropping to 0.4617.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0268 BAM. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4661 to the December average rate of 0.4793, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.83% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.4885 was up 3.25% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.4731, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AED based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,443 BAM
2018 Average 2,254 BAM
Yearly Trough Low 2,308 BAM
Transaction Impact: A difference of 134.14 BAM purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.4851
0.4644
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AED to BAM Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4713, compared to 0.4798 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0086 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4713
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4798

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was June, with a trading range of 0.0107 BAM (High: 0.4779 / Low: 0.4672). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0043 BAM (High: 0.4782 / Low: 0.4738).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0107
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0043

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0043 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0043

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2019: 0.4833) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.4555), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0278 (+6.11%).

2019 Avg (September) 0.4833
2018 Avg (September) 0.4555

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4694 0.4617 0.4661
February 0.4726 0.4644 0.4691
March 0.4743 0.4674 0.4709
April 0.4785 0.4704 0.4739
May 0.4782 0.4738 0.4761
June 0.4779 0.4672 0.4718
July 0.4789 0.4713 0.4746
August 0.4823 0.4737 0.4785
September 0.4885 0.4783 0.4833
October 0.4870 0.4770 0.4818
November 0.4844 0.4768 0.4816
December 0.4838 0.4741 0.4793