2012 AFN to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.8988 KES

YEARLY LOW

1.6091 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.7243 KES

2012 AFN to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the AFN to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 1.8988. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 15, dropping to 1.6091.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2897 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.8666 to the December average rate of 1.6701, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.53% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 1.8988 was down 17.10% compared to the 2011 peak of 2.2905, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AFN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,494 KES

2011 Average 10,027 KES

Yearly Trough Low 8,046 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,448.55 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

1.8894

1.6162

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AFN to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.7544, compared to 1.6942 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0602 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.7544

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6942

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was February, with a trading range of 0.1301 KES (High: 1.8110 / Low: 1.6809). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0061 KES (High: 1.7243 / Low: 1.7182).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.1301

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0061

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1410 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1410

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2012: 1.8666) against the same month in 2011 (average: 1.8818), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0152 (-0.81%).

2012 Avg (January) 1.8666

2011 Avg (January) 1.8818

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.8988	1.8118	1.8666
February	1.8110	1.6809	1.7256
March	1.7242	1.6656	1.7137
April	1.7243	1.7182	1.7212
May	1.7918	1.7199	1.7439
June	1.7860	1.7302	1.7555
July	1.7488	1.7357	1.7426
August	1.7459	1.7337	1.7387
September	1.7518	1.6785	1.7192
October	1.6758	1.6454	1.6556
November	1.6606	1.6091	1.6390
December	1.6882	1.6486	1.6701