2016 AFN to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.5576 KES

YEARLY LOW

1.4560 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.4980 KES

2016 AFN to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the AFN to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 30, valuing the pair at 1.5576. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 15, dropping to 1.4560.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1016 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.4922 to the December average rate of 1.5378, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.05% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.5576 was down 8.14% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.6957, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AFN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,788 KES

2015 Average 8,026 KES

Yearly Trough Low 7,280 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 507.99 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.5458

1.4560

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AFN to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.4775, compared to 1.5184 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0409 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.4775

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.5184

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was August, with a trading range of 0.0699 KES (High: 1.5461 / Low: 1.4762). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0045 KES (High: 1.4814 / Low: 1.4769).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0699

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0045

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0116 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0116

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 1.5378) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.5137), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0241 (+1.59%).

2016 Avg (December) 1.5378

2015 Avg (December) 1.5137

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.5001	1.4832	1.4922
February	1.4916	1.4634	1.4807
March	1.4891	1.4727	1.4815
April	1.4814	1.4769	1.4792
May	1.4784	1.4626	1.4679
June	1.4819	1.4560	1.4634
July	1.4781	1.4690	1.4748
August	1.5461	1.4762	1.5071
September	1.5432	1.4947	1.5186
October	1.5431	1.5331	1.5383
November	1.5458	1.5229	1.5340
December	1.5576	1.5280	1.5378