YEARLY HIGH
1.4763 DJF
YEARLY LOW
1.3753 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.4320 DJF

2016 ALL to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ALL to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 3, valuing the pair at 1.4763. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 16, dropping to 1.3753.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1010 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.3980 to the December average rate of 1.3915, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.46% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.4763 was down 4.54% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.5465, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ALL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,381 DJF
2015 Average 7,057 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 6,876 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 505.00 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.4609
1.3852
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ALL to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.4342, compared to 1.4299 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0044 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.4342
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.4299

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0672 DJF (High: 1.4526 / Low: 1.3855). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0171 DJF (High: 1.4559 / Low: 1.4387).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0672
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0171

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0212 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0212

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 1.4517) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.4069), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0448 (+3.19%).

2016 Avg (May) 1.4517
2015 Avg (May) 1.4069

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.4103 1.3871 1.3980
February 1.4461 1.3973 1.4248
March 1.4545 1.4002 1.4307
April 1.4660 1.4385 1.4529
May 1.4763 1.4325 1.4517
June 1.4666 1.4286 1.4473
July 1.4499 1.4310 1.4374
August 1.4711 1.4368 1.4546
September 1.4559 1.4387 1.4494
October 1.4551 1.4172 1.4335
November 1.4526 1.3855 1.4127
December 1.4093 1.3753 1.3915