YEARLY HIGH
1.6953 DJF
YEARLY LOW
1.6013 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.6461 DJF

2018 ALL to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ALL to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 17, valuing the pair at 1.6953. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 9, dropping to 1.6013.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0939 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.6327 to the December average rate of 1.6406, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.49% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.6953 was up 4.94% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.6155, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ALL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,476 DJF
2017 Average 7,535 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 8,007 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 469.72 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.6844
1.6182
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ALL to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.6550, compared to 1.6371 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0179 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.6550
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6371

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.0630 DJF (High: 1.6643 / Low: 1.6013). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0210 DJF (High: 1.6599 / Low: 1.6389).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0630
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0210

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0245 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0245

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2018: 1.6788) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.4142), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2646 (+18.71%).

2018 Avg (April) 1.6788
2017 Avg (April) 1.4142

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.6643 1.6013 1.6327
February 1.6775 1.6269 1.6520
March 1.6852 1.6371 1.6644
April 1.6953 1.6614 1.6788
May 1.6754 1.6271 1.6543
June 1.6909 1.6308 1.6477
July 1.6599 1.6389 1.6507
August 1.6557 1.6062 1.6345
September 1.6570 1.6275 1.6400
October 1.6453 1.6152 1.6333
November 1.6347 1.6105 1.6237
December 1.6584 1.6217 1.6406