YEARLY HIGH
14.6165 MNT
YEARLY LOW
7.9089 MNT
YEARLY AVERAGE
9.9168 MNT

2018 AOA to MNT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the AOA to MNT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 5, valuing the pair at 14.6165. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 3, dropping to 7.9089.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 6.7076 MNT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 13.6029 to the December average rate of 7.9768, the exchange rate registered a net change of -41.36% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 14.6165 was down 2.75% compared to the 2017 peak of 15.0303, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AOA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 73,083 MNT
2017 Average 73,371 MNT
Yearly Trough Low 39,545 MNT
Transaction Impact: A difference of 33,538.22 MNT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

14.1655
7.4142
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AOA to MNT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 11.2331, compared to 8.6006 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.6325 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 11.2331
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.6006

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 2.9684 MNT (High: 14.6165 / Low: 11.6482). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0899 MNT (High: 8.0943 / Low: 8.0043).

January Spread (Volatile) ±2.9684
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0899

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 2.1768 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.1768

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 13.6029) against the same month in 2017 (average: 14.9726), the exchange rate shifted by -1.3698 (-9.15%).

2018 Avg (January) 13.6029
2017 Avg (January) 14.9726

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 14.6165 11.6482 13.6029
February 11.6776 11.2173 11.4260
March 11.2608 11.1118 11.1732
April 11.1610 10.5996 10.9641
May 10.6173 10.0448 10.3373
June 10.1328 9.0640 9.8952
July 9.8328 9.4996 9.6389
August 9.4945 8.8415 9.1859
September 8.8415 8.2935 8.5535
October 8.3396 8.0862 8.2081
November 8.0943 8.0043 8.0400
December 8.1568 7.9089 7.9768