YEARLY HIGH
8.0244 MNT
YEARLY LOW
5.3802 MNT
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.1919 MNT

2019 AOA to MNT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the AOA to MNT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 14, valuing the pair at 8.0244. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 29, dropping to 5.3802.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.6442 MNT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.9104 to the December average rate of 5.6663, the exchange rate registered a net change of -28.37% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 8.0244 was down 45.10% compared to the 2018 peak of 14.6165, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AOA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 40,122 MNT
2018 Average 49,552 MNT
Yearly Trough Low 26,901 MNT
Transaction Impact: A difference of 13,221.12 MNT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

8.1348
5.4419
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AOA to MNT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.7215, compared to 6.6622 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.0593 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.7215
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.6622

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was October, with a trading range of 1.6687 MNT (High: 7.0488 / Low: 5.3802). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0928 MNT (High: 7.9511 / Low: 7.8583).

October Spread (Volatile) ±1.6687
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0928

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.9533 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.9533

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2019: 7.8935) against the same month in 2018 (average: 11.4260), the exchange rate shifted by -3.5325 (-30.92%).

2019 Avg (February) 7.8935
2018 Avg (February) 11.4260

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.9511 7.8583 7.9104
February 8.0244 7.8102 7.8935
March 7.9610 7.7747 7.8560
April 7.9114 7.5945 7.8225
May 7.7397 7.4254 7.5161
June 7.8200 7.2111 7.3307
July 7.7420 7.6200 7.6793
August 7.5706 7.3500 7.4078
September 7.3637 7.0489 7.2505
October 7.0488 5.3802 6.2971
November 5.8215 5.3862 5.6723
December 5.8939 5.4765 5.6663