YEARLY HIGH
4.0496 HNL
YEARLY LOW
3.1128 HNL
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.6860 HNL

2013 ARS to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the ARS to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 4.0496. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 3.1128.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9368 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.0229 to the December average rate of 3.2245, the exchange rate registered a net change of -19.84% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 4.0496 was down 8.40% compared to the 2012 peak of 4.4210, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 20,248 HNL
2012 Average 21,260 HNL
Yearly Trough Low 15,564 HNL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,684.09 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

4.1027
3.1447
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.8609, compared to 3.5112 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3497 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.8609
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.5112

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was May, with a trading range of 0.2347 HNL (High: 3.8396 / Low: 3.6050). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0496 HNL (High: 4.0496 / Low: 3.9999).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.2347
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0496

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2013. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.1783 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1783

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2013: 4.0229) against the same month in 2012 (average: 4.4096), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3867 (-8.77%).

2013 Avg (January) 4.0229
2012 Avg (January) 4.4096

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.0496 3.9999 4.0229
February 4.0134 3.9448 3.9806
March 3.9367 3.8284 3.8851
April 3.8323 3.7160 3.7739
May 3.8396 3.6050 3.6985
June 3.8343 3.7703 3.8045
July 3.7754 3.6965 3.7310
August 3.7076 3.5971 3.6551
September 3.5981 3.5217 3.5559
October 3.5318 3.4625 3.4977
November 3.4506 3.3428 3.4028
December 3.3462 3.1128 3.2245