YEARLY HIGH
6.7047 LRD
YEARLY LOW
5.3651 LRD
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.0605 LRD

2016 ARS to LRD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to LRD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 6.7047. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 29, dropping to 5.3651.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.3396 LRD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.3127 to the December average rate of 5.8059, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.03% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 6.7047 was down 37.57% compared to the 2015 peak of 10.7401, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 33,524 LRD
2015 Average 46,685 LRD
Yearly Trough Low 26,826 LRD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,698.04 LRD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

6.4816
5.6106
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to LRD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.1078, compared to 6.0133 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0945 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.1078
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.0133

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was April, with a trading range of 0.7237 LRD (High: 6.4488 / Low: 5.7250). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1498 LRD (High: 6.0880 / Low: 5.9382).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.7237
October Spread (Stable) ±0.1498

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.5919 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5919

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 6.3127) against the same month in 2015 (average: 10.6440), the exchange rate shifted by -4.3313 (-40.69%).

2016 Avg (January) 6.3127
2015 Avg (January) 10.6440

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.7047 6.0877 6.3127
February 6.0294 5.3651 5.7208
March 5.8575 5.3763 5.6832
April 6.4488 5.7250 6.1155
May 6.5058 6.3396 6.4091
June 6.5832 5.9460 6.4054
July 6.1880 5.9964 6.0632
August 6.4261 6.0398 6.1867
September 6.1225 5.9467 6.0610
October 6.0880 5.9382 6.0251
November 6.0591 5.7533 5.9378
December 6.0386 5.6805 5.8059