YEARLY HIGH
4.8030 LRD
YEARLY LOW
3.1328 LRD
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.9318 LRD

2019 ARS to LRD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the ARS to LRD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 14, valuing the pair at 4.8030. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 23, dropping to 3.1328.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.6701 LRD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.2587 to the December average rate of 3.1540, the exchange rate registered a net change of -25.94% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 4.8030 was down 29.78% compared to the 2018 peak of 6.8403, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 24,015 LRD
2018 Average 26,902 LRD
Yearly Trough Low 15,664 LRD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,350.75 LRD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

4.8737
2.9977
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to LRD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.1160, compared to 3.7476 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3683 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.1160
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.7476

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 1.2092 LRD (High: 4.5795 / Low: 3.3703). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0840 LRD (High: 3.2168 / Low: 3.1328).

August Spread (Volatile) ±1.2092
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0840

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.7647 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7647

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2019: 4.7173) against the same month in 2018 (average: 5.6231), the exchange rate shifted by -0.9058 (-16.11%).

2019 Avg (July) 4.7173
2018 Avg (July) 5.6231

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.3347 4.1693 4.2587
February 4.3351 4.0587 4.2020
March 4.0680 3.7013 3.9313
April 4.0131 3.6898 3.8529
May 4.2696 3.7980 4.0087
June 4.6168 4.2627 4.4423
July 4.8030 4.6143 4.7173
August 4.5795 3.3703 3.9527
September 3.7435 3.4910 3.6811
October 3.6623 3.5296 3.6120
November 3.5557 3.2204 3.3686
December 3.2168 3.1328 3.1540