2016 ARS to MGA Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

249.0291 MGA

YEARLY LOW

195.5703 MGA

YEARLY AVERAGE

215.7208 MGA

2016 ARS to MGA Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to MGA exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 249.0291. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 29, dropping to 195.5703.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 53.4588 MGA. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 236.8779 to the December average rate of 210.5344, the exchange rate registered a net change of -11.12% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 249.0291 was down 32.82% compared to the 2015 peak of 370.6932, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,245,146 MGA

2015 Average 1,681,828 MGA

Yearly Trough Low 977,852 MGA

Transaction Impact: A difference of 267,293.97 MGA purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

240.3617

198.5551

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MGA Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 224.1903, compared to 207.2514 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 16.9390 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 224.1903

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 207.2514

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 25.3753 MGA (High: 228.1211 / Low: 202.7458). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.7439 MGA (High: 203.7641 / Low: 200.0202).

February Spread (Volatile) ±25.3753

September Spread (Stable) ±3.7439

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 24.3366 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -24.3366

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 236.8779) against the same month in 2015 (average: 309.8934), the exchange rate shifted by -73.0156 (-23.56%).

2016 Avg (January) 236.8779

2015 Avg (January) 309.8934

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	249.0291	230.6797	236.8779
February	228.1211	202.7458	215.6189
March	224.2557	203.9467	215.2127
April	226.6956	215.7694	221.2347
May	233.2571	220.3788	225.1788
June	238.6463	214.6917	231.0189
July	216.6856	195.5703	206.6823
August	206.8859	197.5633	203.4977
September	203.7641	200.0202	202.0390
October	212.4017	202.4673	209.3272
November	213.4677	208.3251	211.4276
December	216.8925	206.0238	210.5344