YEARLY HIGH
177.3159 MGA
YEARLY LOW
82.9574 MGA
YEARLY AVERAGE
126.5879 MGA

2018 ARS to MGA Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to MGA exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 177.3159. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 29, dropping to 82.9574.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 94.3585 MGA. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 170.7134 to the December average rate of 93.9604, the exchange rate registered a net change of -44.96% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 177.3159 was down 16.79% compared to the 2017 peak of 213.0975, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 886,579 MGA
2017 Average 946,725 MGA
Yearly Trough Low 414,787 MGA
Transaction Impact: A difference of 471,792.70 MGA purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

178.9545
80.0611
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MGA Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 151.7573, compared to 101.4184 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 50.3389 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 151.7573
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 101.4184

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 34.5131 MGA (High: 120.4941 / Low: 85.9810). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 5.0738 MGA (High: 161.1768 / Low: 156.1030).

August Spread (Volatile) ±34.5131
April Spread (Stable) ±5.0738

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 23.1848 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -23.1848

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 170.7134) against the same month in 2017 (average: 206.5591), the exchange rate shifted by -35.8456 (-17.35%).

2018 Avg (January) 170.7134
2017 Avg (January) 206.5591

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 177.3159 163.8989 170.7134
February 166.1545 155.3528 159.8442
March 159.6960 151.3228 155.8506
April 161.1768 156.1030 158.8885
May 156.8147 129.9663 138.7580
June 135.5195 114.7535 126.4894
July 123.9571 116.9777 121.0851
August 120.4941 85.9810 111.4870
September 91.8213 82.9574 88.3022
October 98.6520 87.0638 94.6459
November 101.9233 92.8816 99.0299
December 99.7252 91.6684 93.9604