YEARLY HIGH
6.8789 MKD
YEARLY LOW
5.5071 MKD
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.7314 MKD

2014 ARS to MKD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the ARS to MKD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 6.8789. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 24, dropping to 5.5071.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.3719 MKD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.5023 to the December average rate of 5.8470, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.08% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 6.8789 was down 28.36% compared to the 2013 peak of 9.6025, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 34,395 MKD
2013 Average 42,775 MKD
Yearly Trough Low 27,535 MKD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,859.32 MKD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

6.5976
5.4532
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MKD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.7680, compared to 5.6948 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0732 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.7680
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.6948

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 1.2392 MKD (High: 6.8789 / Low: 5.6397). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0403 MKD (High: 5.5826 / Low: 5.5423).

January Spread (Volatile) ±1.2392
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0403

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.7543 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7543

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 6.5023) against the same month in 2013 (average: 9.5283), the exchange rate shifted by -3.0261 (-31.76%).

2014 Avg (January) 6.5023
2013 Avg (January) 9.5283

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.8789 5.6397 6.5023
February 5.8088 5.6799 5.7480
March 5.6925 5.5795 5.6278
April 5.6229 5.5458 5.5751
May 5.6108 5.5288 5.5784
June 5.6061 5.5564 5.5765
July 5.5826 5.5423 5.5653
August 5.5729 5.5071 5.5486
September 5.7901 5.5623 5.6600
October 5.7849 5.6871 5.7356
November 5.8535 5.7685 5.8123
December 5.9656 5.7655 5.8470