YEARLY HIGH
4.3676 MKD
YEARLY LOW
3.5697 MKD
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.7766 MKD

2016 ARS to MKD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to MKD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 4.3676. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 1, dropping to 3.5697.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7979 MKD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.1805 to the December average rate of 3.6866, the exchange rate registered a net change of -11.81% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 4.3676 was down 34.63% compared to the 2015 peak of 6.6818, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 21,838 MKD
2015 Average 30,104 MKD
Yearly Trough Low 17,849 MKD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,989.56 MKD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

4.2346
3.5853
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MKD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.8617, compared to 3.6914 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1703 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.8617
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.6914

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.4383 MKD (High: 4.0196 / Low: 3.5813). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0893 MKD (High: 3.7569 / Low: 3.6676).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.4383
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0893

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.4271 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4271

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 4.1805) against the same month in 2015 (average: 6.1190), the exchange rate shifted by -1.9385 (-31.68%).

2016 Avg (January) 4.1805
2015 Avg (January) 6.1190

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.3676 4.0679 4.1805
February 4.0196 3.5813 3.7534
March 3.8043 3.5960 3.7127
April 3.8904 3.6804 3.7825
May 3.9820 3.7703 3.8662
June 3.9906 3.6603 3.8752
July 3.8053 3.6711 3.7313
August 3.7636 3.6428 3.7027
September 3.6899 3.5709 3.6394
October 3.7290 3.5697 3.6715
November 3.7569 3.6676 3.7169
December 3.8060 3.5814 3.6866