YEARLY HIGH
7.6882 RSD
YEARLY LOW
5.1437 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.5489 RSD

2017 ARS to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the ARS to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 13, valuing the pair at 7.6882. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 5.1437.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.5445 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.3273 to the December average rate of 5.6719, the exchange rate registered a net change of -22.59% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 7.6882 was down 11.02% compared to the 2016 peak of 8.6409, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 38,441 RSD
2016 Average 37,740 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 25,719 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 12,722.41 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

7.7091
5.4867
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.2705, compared to 5.8274 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.4431 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.2705
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.8274

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was December, with a trading range of 0.7539 RSD (High: 5.8976 / Low: 5.1437). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0830 RSD (High: 5.8539 / Low: 5.7709).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.7539
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0830

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.6630 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6630

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2017: 7.5239) against the same month in 2016 (average: 7.5262), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0023 (-0.03%).

2017 Avg (April) 7.5239
2016 Avg (April) 7.5262

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.4327 7.2223 7.3273
February 7.6051 7.2929 7.4791
March 7.6385 7.3243 7.4651
April 7.6882 7.2948 7.5239
May 7.4056 6.7611 7.0826
June 6.8753 6.3457 6.7449
July 6.4080 5.7480 6.0819
August 5.9534 5.6999 5.8038
September 5.8765 5.7427 5.8076
October 5.8539 5.7709 5.8137
November 5.8512 5.7177 5.7856
December 5.8976 5.1437 5.6719