2018 ARS to RSD Historical Review
A comprehensive breakdown of exchange rate performance throughout the year 2018.
2018 ARS to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018
During 2018, the ARS to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 5.3611. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 2.4689.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.8922 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.1192 to the December average rate of 2.7503, the exchange rate registered a net change of -46.27% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 5.3611 was down 30.27% compared to the 2017 peak of 7.6882, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:
Trend Visualization
Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.
ARS to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.5849, compared to 3.0239 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.5610 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 1.1267 RSD (High: 3.7426 / Low: 2.6159). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0790 RSD (High: 4.7958 / Low: 4.7169).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.8152 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 5.1192) against the same month in 2017 (average: 7.3273), the exchange rate shifted by -2.2081 (-30.14%).
Monthly Breakdown
Statistical summary for each calendar month.
| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 5.3611 | 4.8730 | 5.1192 |
| February | 4.9282 | 4.7525 | 4.8330 |
| March | 4.7784 | 4.6650 | 4.7414 |
| April | 4.7958 | 4.7169 | 4.7571 |
| May | 4.7249 | 3.9599 | 4.2553 |
| June | 4.0617 | 3.4957 | 3.8036 |
| July | 3.7232 | 3.4886 | 3.6559 |
| August | 3.7426 | 2.6159 | 3.4507 |
| September | 2.7664 | 2.4689 | 2.6356 |
| October | 2.9126 | 2.5902 | 2.7864 |
| November | 2.9506 | 2.6723 | 2.8648 |
| December | 2.8495 | 2.7014 | 2.7503 |